Monday, January 25, 2010

7 up - 7 down for (Jan 25th)

As stated last week - each Monday, Rich Karlgaard of Forbes posts 7 questions to ponder for 7 days. Below are his questions, his responses and mine as well.

1. How should big banks be reformed?
KARLGAARD = no comment from what I saw
VOIGHT = depends on if you want to go pure capitalist or pure socialist or somewhere in the middle. Pure capitalist, I prefer, would be not to regulate or reform them in any way that prevents them from entering into certain economic/business areas (such as investment banking with deposits, etc). However, I dont think that society can stomach what would be inevitable busts when a bank or any company did this and lost all its money. So that's, psychologically, our motivation for the regulation and spreading the risk. So in that sense, I think the recent reforms to limit risk-taking by banks and to tax them to pay for lesser societial fringes makes sense with that philosophy. Do I agree with that mindset? No, but if those are the rules of the game (which America largely is - mostly populist at the end of the day i think), then I think it makes sense.

2. Was Tim Geithner fired last week?
KARLGAARD = again, no comment from what I saw
VOIGHT = not sure - I think the presence of Volcker at the press conference/announcement was more symbolic of policy than an actual reprimand on Geithner. But I dont think Geithner tends to lean towards policies like the reform policies.

3. Bernanke to be reconfirmed? would you vote for him?
KARLGAARD = probably and then no comment
VOIGHT = yes, man would the markets tumble if he wasn't. And I think I would. Yes he missed the boat on the bubble in the first place but I can't see him missing it again with so much attention focused on it now and media scrutiny. So far I think his policies and decisions have been consistent with his belief and what he's promised.

4. Can the Pres. redeem his Presidency with a populist tone?
KARLGAARD = no
VOIGHT = doubtful - the Mass elections were a reprimand, in part, on big government, and now all that is being proposed are more governmental programs and spending. Moreover, people have lost faith in the idea that "government can do it better/more efficient". Its hard for Obama to be populist and rail against government when its a DEMOCRATIC led Congress.

5. What was last week's market tumble about?
KARLGAARD = no comment
VOIGHT = it was a sign of unease over the recent political climate as well as a recognition that the economy isn't as strong as the recent recovery has indicated. I don't expect a major correction though when this much stimulus and easy money exists to prop up the economy - and a Chinese bubble that isn't popping imminently.

6 & 7. comments about the apple tablet and a twitter hypothetical. No comment.

Anyone else's thoughts?

1 comment:

  1. The iTab rocks, bro. It's going to change the way we experience life in ways no one but Steve Jobs can fully appreciate. I'll be owning you in iTab FIFA 2012 when it comes out, PS.

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